一帶一路 | 中印經濟發展潛力之比較

中國和印度都被世界公認為極具發展潛力的發展中國家。在上個世紀50年代初新中國成立和印度獨立初期，兩個國家有著很多相似之處，如都因人口多而給農業發展帶來壓力、都以發展成工業大國為目標、都是實行的計劃經濟體制等等，然而發展到今天，兩個國家又有非常大的差異，這兩個經濟體的發展前景引起世界各國的關注，到底這兩個國家在經濟環境上有什麼差異，今後又會如何發展，印度是否會超越中國，帶著這些問題，本文嘗試從政府對經濟的控制力、投資和經濟環境、經濟的增長模式等角度去分析印度和中國的經濟發展前景，論證印度在將來是否會超越中國。

Both China and India are regarded as the most potential developing countries in the world. They have many similarities during the founding of new China and the early Indian independence in the last century 50s. Such as the pressure of agriculture comes with the large population, back then they were both setting goal as becoming real industrial countries and were running planned economic system as well. However China and India also have many differences up till now. The development prospects of China and India cause the attention of all countries in the world. what exact differences are between these two economic environment?

Will India surpass China in the future? with problems above, this article will trying to analyze the economic prospects of India and China with talking about the economy control comes from the government, the environment of investment and economy and the model of the economic. See if India will surpass China in the future or not.

2 0 0 9年瑞士洛桑國際管理學院（IMD）發佈的世界競爭力年報（WCY）中，印度2009年經濟增長表現最好的方面有：對外直接投資、股市資本、國外直接投資、移動通信增長、貨物與服務出口、衛生基礎設施建設、高級管理人才優勢、財政預算、電腦、未來能源供應保障和能源基礎設施建設。與其他國家相比，排名優勢最大的專案是勞動力市場規模（第1位元）和經濟內需（第3位）。而中國最具競爭力的領域有：公共財政（第1位）、就業（第2位）、經濟內需（第2位）、國際貿易（第5位）和科技基礎設施（第6位）。較弱的領域有：衛生與環境（53位）、管理（51位）、教育（49位）、商業物流（43位）等。本文將持續增長的因素歸結為：政府對經濟的控制力，投資和經濟環境以及經濟的增長模式，從這幾個方面去比較分析中國和印度的優勢和劣勢，洞察兩個國家今後的經濟發展情況。

The main subjects in the best economic growth area in India 2009 are foreign direct investment, capital stock market, the growth of the mobile communication, the exports of goods and services, health infrastructure construction, the advantages of senior management, the budget, computer, the future energy supply guarantees and infrastructure construction, according to The World Competitiveness Yearbook (WCY) published by Swiss International Management Institute of Lausanne (IMD). Compared with other countries, the size of the labor market (the first place) and the economic domestic demand (the third place) have their advantages. While the most competitive fields of China are public finance (the first place), employment (the second place), economic domestic demand (the second place), international trade (the fifth place) and science and technology infrastructure (the sixth place) and the less competitive fields are: health and environment (the 53 place), management (the 51 place), education (the 49 place), business logistics (the 43 place), etc. This article will talk about the economy control comes from the government, the environment of investment and economy and the model of the economic. And  will keep notice on the economic growth of these two countries.